Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 9:13 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 84.1%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleAug 29, 26, 4:08 AM UTCJan 7, 27, 4:39 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
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PolymarketWhich legendary 3rd game would Valve release first?
Manifold MarketsWill Valve release a new Dota 2 gameplay patch before November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Valve release a new VR game before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Has to be a new VR game that will get listed (and stick for over a week) under the main 'Games' heading (not the Published by heading or Bundles heading) on the List of Valve games Wikipedia page
- If something catastrophic happens to the wikipedia page I will use my judgement for resolution.
