Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2028 30.3%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleNov 22, 23, 8:29 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Steam Deck 2 (or next version) More Info When?
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PolymarketBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRules
Valve first released the steam deck in 2022.
- A revised model was released in 2023 called the Steam Deck OLED.
- Valve has publically announced that the Steam Deck 2 is still a number of years out.
- This question will resolve when Valve sends the first shipment of a new Steam Deck or if January 1 2029 is reached with no new Steam Deck.
- New revisions include any steam deck with a new name and upgraded component.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Valve release a new Steam Deck after the Steam Deck OLED?
- Manifold Markets prices 2028 at 30% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Valve release a new Steam Deck after the Steam Deck OLED resolve?
- When will Valve release a new Steam Deck after the Steam Deck OLED is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2029.
- How is When will Valve release a new Steam Deck after the Steam Deck OLED settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Valve first released the steam deck in 2022.