Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027?
Bonds & TreasuriesQuarterlyMacro & EconomyUS Politics1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 50.1%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 21, 26, 1:44 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the U.S. Treasury's reported Total Public Debt Outstanding reaches or exceeds $41,000,000,000,000 at any time through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Use the latest official value if Treasury later corrects a publication.
- Primary source: Treasury FiscalData — Debt to the Penny.
- The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.
