Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026?
CommoditiesScienceYearly6moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.3%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 6, 26, 6:27 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 90%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
- YES if: TOPCon share >= 90% for 2026 NO if: TOPCon share < 90% for 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual report — technology mix table
- InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
- BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $478.9K
- 24h Vol
- $306.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
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- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $147.5K
- 24h Vol
- $147.5K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86089%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.1K
- 24h Vol
- $131.5K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.6K
- 24h Vol
- $128.4K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.8K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026? resolve?
- Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 90%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.