Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 88.2% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030? resolve?

Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: "relatively safe" = <1% chance of mortality or serious disability

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POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.2pt97%
• Yes-0.2pt3%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$5K

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before January 1, 2027-1.0pt7.5%
• Before December 1, 2026+2.0pt7%
• Before November 1, 2026-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

• No96%
• Yes4%

Total Vol

$116K

24h Vol

$4K

POLYMARKET

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?

• 12.5% to 15%52%
• 15% to 17.5%+4.5pt28%
• 10% to 12.5%-8.0pt8%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No-0.1pt98%
• Yes+0.1pt2%

Total Vol

$18.6M

24h Vol

$3.4K

KALSHI

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?

• On Nov 16, 2026+3.0pt92.5%
• On Mar 15, 202767%
• On Nov 22, 202769.5%

• Pandemic in 2026?
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• CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR)?
• New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
• When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
• Ebola pandemic in 2026?
• Plague pandemic in 2026?
• Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
• Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
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