What are the current odds for Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of August 17, 2026.

Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030?

One-OffMacro & Economy Economy

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 3:29 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale

Feb 9, 23, 11:43 PMAug 16, 26, 3:29 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Yes

99%

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$78,003.06+7.37%

EthereumETH$2,477.01+7.03%

SolanaSOL$92.81+6.15%

Rules

It's ok if the numbers for 2029 are reported in 2030, that'll still count as YES if it's above $30 trillion.

Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030?

One-OffMacro & Economy Economy

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 3:29 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale

Feb 9, 23, 11:43 PMAug 16, 26, 3:29 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Yes

99%

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$78,003.06+7.37%

EthereumETH$2,477.01+7.03%

SolanaSOL$92.81+6.15%

Rules

It's ok if the numbers for 2029 are reported in 2030, that'll still count as YES if it's above $30 trillion.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of August 17, 2026.
When does Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030? resolve?: Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on August 16, 2026.
How is Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: It's ok if the numbers for 2029 are reported in 2030, that'll still count as YES if it's above $30 trillion.

Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030?

Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030?

Frequently asked questions

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Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030?

Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030?

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Frequently asked questions

Open markets

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

Bank of Korea decision in August?

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

Fear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026?

How high will the S&P get this year?

Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?