Will the next “public health emergency of int’l concern” be preceded by a matching simulation?
One-OffHealth & Medicine4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 53 minutes ago
LaggingSep 2, 22, 9:22 PM UTCJan 10, 31, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
Anything as coincidental as these will count for a 100% resolution, while generic “pandemic preparedness” without similar timing/virus-type settles close to 0%.
- https://hub.jhu.edu/2019/11/06/event-201-health-security/
- https://nypost.com/2022/05/28/monkeypox-simulation-in-2021-predicted-current-outbreak/amp/
