Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (95.5%)
Resolved: Aug 17, 2026, 3:55 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 95.5%
Forecasters
53
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleJul 25, 26, 4:30 PMAug 17, 26, 3:55 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes95.5%
No4.5%
95.5%
4.5%
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Stripe officially announces a definitive agreement to acquire OpenRouter (or its parent entity) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- The resolution will be verified using official announcements from:
- Stripe's Newsroom: https://stripe.com/newsroom
- OpenRouter's official channels
- Credible financial/tech journalism sources (e.g., The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, or Reuters)
