Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 12:39 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 83.3%
No 83.3%Forecasters
279
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 22, 23, 2:09 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.