Current community forecast
Yes 52.1%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 1:24 PM UTCOct 23, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 16, 2026? (Closes early)
Manifold MarketsWill SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 2, 2026? (Closes early)
Manifold MarketsWill SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 9, 2026? (Closes early)
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of September?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiRules
INTENTIONALLY CLOSES EARLY Betting closes at 02:00 UTC on Friday, October 23, 2026, before that day's regular trading session even opens (13:30 UTC) -- this market will be closed for betting BEFORE the question becomes resolvable.
- This is deliberate, part of a labeled comparison against https://manifold.markets/BarryJones/will-spcx-close-at-15000-or-higher (which stays open until after the real close).
- See that market's thread and NOTES.md in the account's repo for the full background on why.
- Part of a weekly series tracking SPCX (SpaceX, Nasdaq) against the $150 threshold.
- RESOLUTION CRITERIA: resolves YES if SPCX closes its regular trading session on Friday, October 23, 2026 at a price of $150.00 or higher.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
Open markets
EquitiesPOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5M
- 24h Vol
- $115.9K
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+7.0pt19.8%
- 31,500 to 31,999.99+3.0pt6.9%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+2.0pt6.9%
+27 more outcomes
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99+1.0pt16.5%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.7%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9912.8%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+2.0pt76.8%
- Apple-3.3pt15.2%
- Alphabet8.1%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 21 2026?
- ↓ $166+16.9pt100%
- ↑ $168+11.0pt89%
- ↓ $164-2.5pt68%
+12 more outcomes
KALSHIHow low will the S&P get this year?
- 6,300 or below+1.8pt11%
- 6,100 or below+0.4pt10%
- 6,200 or below+1.4pt9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 21 2026?
- What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of September 21 2026?
- Robinhood funded customers in Q3
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 21 2026?
- Will Dec-26 Nasdaq-100 Index Futures settle above 30,800 on September 22 2026? (NQ) (Tech stocks) (Stock market) (CME) (Wall Street) (Equity market)?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of September 21 2026?
- Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 23, 2026? (Closes early)?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 52% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 23, 2026? (Closes early) resolve?
- Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 23, 2026? (Closes early) is scheduled to resolve on October 23, 2026.
- How is Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 23, 2026? (Closes early) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: INTENTIONALLY CLOSES EARLY Betting closes at 02:00 UTC on Friday, October 23, 2026, before that day's regular trading session even opens (13:30 UTC) -- this market will be closed for betting BEFORE the question becomes resolvable.