What are the current odds for Will semiconductors outperform the S&P 500 in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 92.4% as of October 25, 2026.

Paper trade this

Will semiconductors outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?

EquitiesQuarterly2mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Yes 92.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Stale

Apr 24, 26, 9:09 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?

Polymarket

Will TSLA outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?

Manifold Markets

Will Build a Bear outperform the SP500 for the year of 2027?

Manifold Markets

Will CAT outperform DOG in 2026?

Manifold Markets

Will Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?

Manifold Markets

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Polymarket

Rules

resolves based on https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/semiconductors/ YTD

Report a data issue with this market

Will semiconductors outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?

Will semiconductors outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?

Open markets

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?

(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on October 26, 2026 at 4pm ET

S&P close price end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?

(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on October 26, 2026 at 4pm ET

S&P close price end of 2026?