Will Sam Altman file a case against anthropic in next 3 months?
Corporate ActionsAIOne-OffCrime & JusticeManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Aug 9, 2026, 2:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleMay 9, 26, 11:26 PMAug 9, 26, 2:07 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Sam Altman, acting in his individual capacity or through an entity he controls, initiates formal legal action (files a lawsuit or complaint) against Anthropic PBC or its affiliates in a court of law between May 9, 2026, and August 9, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal) or official court docket entries confirming the filing of a case.
- If no such action is initiated by 11:59 PM ET on August 9, 2026, the market resolves to "NO."
- Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI.
- Anthropic was founded in 2021 by former OpenAI employees, including Dario Amodei and Daniela Amodei.
