Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
0.5 pts (24h)BitcoinAIOne-OffCryptoCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 82%+0.5pt
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$728.5
Liquidity
$7.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
80.0% / 84.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
10
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Apr 28, 26, 7:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin.
- If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
- For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered.
- To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.