Will Robinhood still be offering prediction markets in 2027
One-OffBusiness & CorporateRegulationEquities1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 94.7%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJun 13, 26, 1:41 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Where will Robinhood launch prediction markets outside the U.S. by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketWill a law restricting sports trades on prediction markets be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWho will be caught insider trading in prediction markets?
Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point during the calendar year 2027 (from January 1, 2027, through December 31, 2027), Robinhood actively offers event contracts or prediction markets on its official platform (including its mobile app or desktop interface).
- This market resolves to NO if Robinhood completely discontinues, shuts down, or formally pauses its prediction market/event contract offerings for the entirety of 2027.
- Clarifications and Edge Cases:
- Availability: The feature does not need to be available to all users or in all 50 states.
- If Robinhood restricts prediction markets to specific states, regions, or tier groups (such as Robinhood Gold subscribers), this still counts as "offering" prediction markets.
Open markets
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $190.5K
- 24h Vol
- $190.5K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt96%
- Apple-0.1pt3%
- Alphabet+0.2pt1%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt56.4%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.7%
- 90-114+2.1pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $211.6K
- 24h Vol
- $45.2K
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.2K
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Chewy active customers in Q2
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Robinhood still be offering prediction markets in 2027?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Robinhood still be offering prediction markets in 2027 resolve?
- Will Robinhood still be offering prediction markets in 2027 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will Robinhood still be offering prediction markets in 2027 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria