Where will Robinhood launch prediction markets outside the U.S. by 2027?
One-OffBusiness & CorporateRegulation1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastUnited Kingdom 53.8%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleOct 3, 25, 12:20 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Robinhood (or any subsidiary under the Robinhood brand) launches real-money, event-based prediction markets in [Country] on or before 31 Dec 2027.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Launch = trading of at least one contract is available to the general public in that country
Open markets
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $190.5K
- 24h Vol
- $190.5K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt96%
- Apple-0.1pt3%
- Alphabet+0.2pt1%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt56.4%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.7%
- 90-114+2.1pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $211.6K
- 24h Vol
- $45.2K
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.2K
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
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- Chewy active customers in Q2
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Where will Robinhood launch prediction markets outside the U.S. by 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices United Kingdom at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Where will Robinhood launch prediction markets outside the U.S. by 2027? resolve?
- Where will Robinhood launch prediction markets outside the U.S. by 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Where will Robinhood launch prediction markets outside the U.S. by 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Robinhood (or any subsidiary under the Robinhood brand) launches real-money, event-based prediction markets in [Country] on or before 31 Dec 2027.