Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prices No at 90.8% as of October 17, 2026.

When does Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? resolve?

Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.

How is Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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KALSHI

OpenAI market share this week

• Above 17.1%+3.0pt99.5%
• Above 15.1%99.5%
• Above 18.1%+75.0pt94%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$344.7K

24h Vol

$116.8K

KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 21.7%99.5%
• Above 23.2%+11.0pt96%
• Above 23.9%-20.0pt63.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+3.9pt77%
• Anthropic-2.5pt22%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+5.5pt27.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.4pt20.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.1pt15.4%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI this week

• Gemini+4.0pt99.5%
• Claude-6.0pt0.5%
• Grok1.5%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-1.0pt51%
• 2026-1.0pt14%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$918.2K

24h Vol

$51.7K

• Best AI at the end of 2026?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Anthropic market share this week
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
• Time's Person of the Year for 2026
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)