Will Polymarket allow US persons to trade on the 2026 midterms?
ExchangeOne-OffPolitics2026 US MidtermsUS PoliticsElectionRegulation14d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 79.7%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMar 15, 25, 5:43 AM UTCNov 11, 26, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
The time must be longer than a period of a week, or allowing for betting on the day of the election.
- The markets can be separate, but should allow betting in some form of cryptocurrency.
- A separate market or exchange is fine for US users.
- At least 80% of US users must be able to bet on the overall control of the House.
- The US market must allow cryptocurrency deposits and withdrawals.
- Other functionality besides election trading such as sports is irrelevant
