Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 78%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 17, 26, 2:51 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
See my tweet: https://x.com/realTomBayes/status/2023570876164120992
- Resolves when they are either accepted or rejected as an applicant.
- No time limit
