Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 89.4% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? resolve?

Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/cftc-weighs-outright-ban-for-derivatives-bets-on-us-elections

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KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt92.5%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.1M

24h Vol

$125.2K

POLYMARKET

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

• No96%
• Yes4%

Total Vol

$24.7M

24h Vol

$43.3K

POLYMARKET

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by which date?

• 2028+2.0pt35%
• 2027-0.5pt22%
• June 30, 202717%

+1 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?

• Before 2030-1.0pt29.5%
• Before 202926.5%
• Before 202812.5%

KALSHI

Conference to Win the National Championship

• SEC+2.0pt38.5%
• Big Ten-1.0pt24.5%
• ACC

KALSHI

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

• Anthropic-1.0pt92%
• Airwallex3.5%
• Discord7.5%

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