Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027?
SpaceOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 17, 25, 3:33 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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The market resolves yes if NASA officially states that they believe there is >80% chance that life exists on K2-18b.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027? resolve?
- Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The market resolves yes if NASA officially states that they believe there is >80% chance that life exists on K2-18b.
