Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:06 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 79.7%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleMar 30, 23, 1:58 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martian_Moons_eXploration_(MMX)
- https://www.mmx.jaxa.jp/en/
- Successful landing will be defined as the spacecraft being able to send and receive information.
- https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-mmx-successfully-return-sample
