Current implied probability
No 99%
No 99%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$42.1
Low liquidityTraders
21
Comments
1
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsWhich of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship 15th launch?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiRules
One of SpaceX's biggest projects is the Starship, a spacecraft that is expected to take crews to the Moon and even Mars in the future.
- The company hopes to use the vehicle for space tourism, managing to carry up to 100 passengers at a time.
- If SpaceX manages to successfully land a manned flight of the Starship on the moon by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"
