Current community forecast
No 70.7%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 10, 24, 5:10 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Hans Niemann and Magnus Carlsen play a FIDE rated classical game before 2030 (and after market creation).
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Magnus Carlsen play a classical game against Hans Niemann before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Magnus Carlsen play a classical game against Hans Niemann before 2030? resolve?
- Will Magnus Carlsen play a classical game against Hans Niemann before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Will Magnus Carlsen play a classical game against Hans Niemann before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Hans Niemann and Magnus Carlsen play a FIDE rated classical game before 2030 (and after market creation).