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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Chess
  3. What year will someone surpass Magnus Carlsen on the list of Top Rated FIDE players?
Manifold Markets

What year will someone surpass Magnus Carlsen on the list of Top Rated FIDE players?

ChessOne-Off4y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
2023 1%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters

48

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 days ago

Stale
Nov 28, 23, 6:29 PMJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

20231%

Rules

They have to surpass Magnus on the list for at least 30 days.

Manifold Markets
  • http://ratings.fide.com/
  • If Magnus is not in the list then he is surpassed, as long as the list still exists.
  • The list appears to be updated very frequently.
  • No end date.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

They have to surpass Magnus on the list for at least 30 days.

Manifold Markets
  • http://ratings.fide.com/
  • If Magnus is not in the list then he is surpassed, as long as the list still exists.
  • The list appears to be updated very frequently.
  • No end date.