Current community forecast
2027 30.2%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
48
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleNov 28, 23, 6:29 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Magnus Carlsen play a classical game against Hans Niemann before 2030?
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KalshiFIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in December 2026
KalshiRules
They have to surpass Magnus on the list for at least 30 days.
- http://ratings.fide.com/
- Update June 30 2026: this is the proper link now: https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open for tracking this market - the open rating.
- If Magnus is not in the list then he is surpassed, as long as the list still exists.
- The list appears to be updated very frequently.
- No end date.