Current community forecast
No 88.6%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleOct 1, 22, 1:45 AM UTCDec 31, 32, 4:01 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This question resolves as YES if Magnus Carlsen, the Classical World Chess Champion as of 2022, participates either in:
- (1) An event, such as a candidates tournament, which is primarily intended to select the next contender for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship.
- (2) Or Carlsen otherwise is a challenger for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship.
- Criteria and clarifications.
- If Carlsen competes in a tournament or tournaments which are qualification events for a candidates tournament, then that does not count as competing for the world championship.
- For example, if winning first place in the Sinquefield Cup earns the winner a spot in the candidates tournament, then participating in the Sinquefield Cup does not count as competing for the world championship.
