Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 93%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Apr 16, 26, 6:35 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?
PolymarketWill LIV Golf announce a SIGNED definitive investment deal with a new lead investor by October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsGolfers to Compete in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027
KalshiWill there be a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027?
Kalshi2026 Golf Tour Head-to-Head (H2H) Markets (LIVE)
Manifold MarketsWhich captain's team will top the money list for the 2026 Your Golf Tour regular season (YouTube golf)?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if LIV Golf officially announces it is ceasing all tournament operations, merging entirely into the PGA Tour such that the LIV Golf brand is discontinued, or filing for bankruptcy/liquidation at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from LIV Golf, the Public Investment Fund (PIF), or authoritative reporting from major news outlets (e.g., ESPN, Golf Digest, The New York Times, Associated Press).
- If no such official cessation of operations occurs by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to NO.
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $98.9K
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.9K
- 24h Vol
- $48.6K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.1pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.0pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+49.5pt99%
- No-49.5pt1%
- Total Vol
- $24.7K
- 24h Vol
- $23.6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Liv Golf shut down in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Liv Golf shut down in 2026? resolve?
- Will Liv Golf shut down in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Liv Golf shut down in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria