Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (72.6%)
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 5:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 3, 2026, 12:43 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
I dislike OpenAI for a variety of political reasons and do not want to support them in any way.
- I would prefer not to purchase any OpenAI subscription of any kind.
- However, if it is sufficiently more useful for my job than my current Claude subscription then I will bite the bullet.
- Resolves YES if I purchase any kind of ChatGPT subscription in the next month, including for any unreleased models such as Astra.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- I will not bet.