Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (52.5%)
Resolved: Oct 11, 2026, 5:15 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 5:58 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?
KalshiWill Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?
KalshiWhen will PATH run the weekend NWK/WTC line at an interval of every 10m or less?
Manifold MarketsHawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
KalshiMinneapolis Green Line Extension opens in 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
KalshiRules
This market is about whether I will leave the house before 11 a.m. every day from 5 October to 11 October
- YES if I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day within the timeframe and stay outside for at least 10 minutes.
- NO if I don't, for any reason whatsoever.
- Bonus: Every unique human trader gets a one-time Ṁ10 bonus at market close.
- Additional notes:
- The bonus is meant to boost engagement.
