What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?
8.0 pts (24h)One-OffSociety & Culture3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 8 mph · —
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Stored price
At least 8.3 mph 42%Market line of 6 lines
At least 8.3 mph 42%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$205
Open interest
$173
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 8 mphSpread
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Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 7, 26, 5:14 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 8 mph
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KalshiRules
If the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service is at least 8.3 mph for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA)
Rules for each outcome
- At least 8 mph
- If the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service is at least 8 mph for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8.1 mph
- If the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service is at least 8.1 mph for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8.2 mph
- If the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service is at least 8.2 mph for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8.3 mph
- If the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service is at least 8.3 mph for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8.4 mph
- If the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service is at least 8.4 mph for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8.5 mph
- If the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service is at least 8.5 mph for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
