KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 86,000 95%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$12
Low liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 7, 26, 5:03 PM UTCMar 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
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Manifold MarketsManifold Markets 7-day average of Daily Active Users will be at least 29,000 by January 29, 2029 (1/29/29).
Manifold MarketsHow many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
KalshiRules
If the cover-page value New York City reports as “Average daily overnight census in all city-administered facilities for the reporting month” is the named outcome for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New York City Mayor’s Office of Operations
Open markets
Society & Culture
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt96%
- 220-239-11.8pt4%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $760.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.7K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-35.0pt50%
- No50%
- Total Vol
- $3.7K
- 24h Vol
- $3.1K
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Total Vol
- $21.1K
- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
KALSHIHarry Kane Knighted in 2026
- No86%
- Yes+1.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $17.6K
- 24h Vol
- $405.4
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026??
- Kalshi prices Above 86,000 at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026? resolve?
- What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2027.
- How is What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the cover-page value New York City reports as “Average daily overnight census in all city-administered facilities for the reporting month” is the named outcome for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.