Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?
RegulationOne-OffHealth & Medicine3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69.6%
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35
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 38 minutes ago
Aug 2, 23, 2:02 AM UTCDec 28, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
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What does "75%" mean in a surgical procedure?: if the surgery includes steps 1 to 4, 1 to 4 are equal in time, and the robot does 3 of the 4 stages.
- That's 75% of the surgery.
- Autonomously:
- a close loop system, using classical control theory or a multimodal machine learning model.
- Any surgery, anywhere, during a preclinical study under ethical and regulatory oversight.
- The first use is communicated via a medical journal case study or a medical society conference presentation.
