KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore Jan 1, 2027 50%+3.0%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$232
Liquidity
$18.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
42.0% / 48.0%
Spread
14.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jul 30, 25, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 202750%
Volume trend
$232Jul 219d of dataJul 22
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If Discord confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2026.
- If Discord confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2026.
- If Discord confirms an IPO before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.