Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 65.6%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 51 minutes ago
LaggingOct 3, 26, 8:18 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
In 2025, WHO and UNICEF estimated that 13.5 million children globally were “zero-dose,” operationally defined as children who did not receive a first dose of a DTP-containing vaccine (DTP1).
- This market resolves YES if the WHO/UNICEF Estimates of National Immunization Coverage (WUENIC) estimate fewer than 13.0 million zero-dose children globally for calendar year 2026.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- Resolution will use the 2026 WUENIC estimates when published.
- If the estimate is exactly 13.0 million, the market resolves NO.
