Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 82.1%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleDec 17, 22, 4:49 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund Sayana® Press on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if an organisations supplying Sayana® press is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “Sayana® Press” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- Can you find issues with this question.
