Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.9%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 17, 22, 7:08 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the world throughout the 2020s
Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund community health promoters as run by Living Goods on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “Community health promoters as run by Living Goods” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- N.B. The funds must go towards community health providers, not a charity that largely does other work.
