Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 70.9%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleDec 17, 22, 7:08 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
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PolymarketRules
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund community health promoters as run by Living Goods on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “Community health promoters as run by Living Goods” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- N.B. The funds must go towards community health providers, not a charity that largely does other work.
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,750 or above99%
- $73,000 or above99%
- $73,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.4M
- 24h Vol
- $2.4M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $67,000 or above98%
- $64,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $67,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIETH price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,300 or above97%
- $2,340 or above95%
- $2,380 or above93%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $409.3K
- 24h Vol
- $397.4K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Seattle+81.0pt99%
- Chicago+21.0pt99%
- Miami-9.0pt54%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $292.1K
LIMITLESSMeta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes80%
- No20%
- Total Vol
- $257.6K
- 24h Vol
- $240.9K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+7.5pt31.4%
- 200-219+2.5pt26.7%
- 220-239-2.0pt15.2%
+23 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will GiveWell fund Community salt substitution by 1st January 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Will GiveWell fund Community salt substitution by 1st January 2027? resolve?
- Will GiveWell fund Community salt substitution by 1st January 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will GiveWell fund Community salt substitution by 1st January 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund community health promoters as run by Living Goods on or before December 31, 2026.