Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against myeloid leukemia before 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against myeloid leukemia before 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 66% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against myeloid leukemia before 2028? resolve?

Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against myeloid leukemia before 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.

How is Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against myeloid leukemia before 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the FDA grants full approval for the commercial sale of any mRNA-based vaccine for the treatment of myeloid leukemia in the United States before January 1, 2028.

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KALSHI

Measles cases in 2026?

• Above 500098.5%
• Above 6000+10.0pt82%
• Above 700039%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$13.9K

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.1pt98%
• Yes-0.1pt2%

Total Vol

$18.9M

24h Vol

$12.8K

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑5k+0.8pt99%
• ↑5.5k+2.9pt95%
• ↑6k+10.5pt85%

+13 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

• 4900+-9.1pt2%

+10 more outcomes

Total Vol

$39.2K

24h Vol

$4.1K

KALSHI

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

• Before 2027-2.0pt22.5%
• Before November-2.0pt1.5%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$124.1K

24h Vol

KALSHI

What will Yum! Brands say during their next earnings call?

• AI / Artificial Intelligence+2.0pt93.5%
• Byte95.5%
• Baja Blast+3.0pt

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