Will ExxonMobil or ConocoPhillips officially announce a new joint venture or production agreement in Venezuela in 2026?
RegulationOne-OffCommoditiesLatin AmericaBusiness & Corporate3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 71.8%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 3, 26, 7:59 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria:
- Yes: If either company releases a press statement or SEC filing confirming they have signed a deal to operate specific fields (e.g., in the Orinoco Belt) or have acquired equity in a Venezuelan project.
- No: Mere "talks," "memorandums of understanding" (MOUs), or visits by executives do not count.
- It must be a binding operational agreement.
- No: Debt-for-equity swaps where they just gain paper ownership but do not take over physical operations do not count.
- Resolves in the spirit of the question, as there may be many edge cases here.