Will Egyptians "be starving within a decade," as Spandrell predicts?
One-OffHealth & MedicineSociety & Culture7yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.5%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 24, 5:31 PM UTCMar 14, 34, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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https://twitter.com/spandrell4/status/1767961849612612081
- Resolves yes if over 5% of the Egyptian population has died of starvation within any year long interval.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Egyptians "be starving within a decade," as Spandrell predicts??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will Egyptians "be starving within a decade," as Spandrell predicts? resolve?
- Will Egyptians "be starving within a decade," as Spandrell predicts? is scheduled to resolve on March 14, 2034.
- How is Will Egyptians "be starving within a decade," as Spandrell predicts? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://twitter.com/spandrell4/status/1767961849612612081