What are the current odds for Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of September 1, 2026.

Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro?

AIOne-OffTech

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Sep 1, 2026, 1:43 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Aug 12, 26, 4:29 PMSep 1, 26, 1:43 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Yes

99%

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, after both models are officially released in General Availability (GA) and ranked on the Artificial Analysis, DeepSeek V4 Pro has a higher overall Elo rating than Gemini 3.5 Pro.
If Gemini 3.5 Pro has a higher or equal Elo rating than DeepSeek V4 Pro, this market resolves to NO.
(Identical market to: source market)

Report a data issue with this market

Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro?

AIOne-OffTech

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Sep 1, 2026, 1:43 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Aug 12, 26, 4:29 PMSep 1, 26, 1:43 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Yes

99%

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, after both models are officially released in General Availability (GA) and ranked on the Artificial Analysis, DeepSeek V4 Pro has a higher overall Elo rating than Gemini 3.5 Pro.
If Gemini 3.5 Pro has a higher or equal Elo rating than DeepSeek V4 Pro, this market resolves to NO.
(Identical market to: source market)

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of September 1, 2026.
When does Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro? resolve?: Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro? is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2026.
How is Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria

Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro?

Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than Gemini 3.5 Pro?

Frequently asked questions

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