Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.8%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleOct 20, 25, 3:20 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill Tumbles and Polymarket resolve the same way regarding "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2027?"
Manifold MarketsWill China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.3pt96%
- Yes+0.3pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $104K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $49.4K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 27°C+81.5pt94%
- 28°C+1.5pt5%
- 29°C-0.1pt1%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66.7%
- LPL (China)-0.5pt24.5%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.9%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt78.4%
- Puerto Rico-6.0pt21.6%
- Total Vol
- $18.2K
- 24h Vol
- $18K
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-1.0pt72%
- Yes+1.0pt28%
- Total Vol
- $414.7K
- 24h Vol
- $16.1K
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- August Inflation China - Annual
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will China invade Taiwan before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will China invade Taiwan before 2028? resolve?
- Will China invade Taiwan before 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.