Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 80.1%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 30, 24, 10:56 AM UTCDec 31, 59, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
If the head of state and the de facto leader are two different people, as they sometimes have been before 1993, this question refers to the de facto leader (i.e., the most powerful person in the political system).
- If it is unclear or difficult to determine who that person is, this resolves N/A.