Current community forecast
No 62.8%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 30, 26, 6:00 AM UTCDec 27, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the daily closing price of Cheesecake Factory Incorporated common stock (NASDAQ: CAKE) is strictly below $88.88 on any trading day from market creation through December 28, 2026.
- If the stock's closing price remains at or above $88.88 on all trading days during this period, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be based on historical closing prices as reported by Nasdaq or, in the event of downtime, a major financial tracking service such as Yahoo Finance or Google Finance.
- Daily closes are defined by standard trading hours (closing at 4:00 PM Eastern Time) and do not include extended-hours or after-market trading.
- If any stock splits, reverse splits, or other structural share adjustments occur before the resolution date, the target price of $88.88 will be adjusted accordingly.
Open markets
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+97 more outcomes
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- $119.2K
- 24h Vol
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KALSHIS&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
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- 7,660 or above99%
- 7,600 or above99%
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- Total Vol
- $55K
- 24h Vol
- $54.8K
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- 24h Vol
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- $214.9K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Cheesecake Factory stock price close below 88.88 by December 28, 2026? (NASDAQ: CAKE)?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Cheesecake Factory stock price close below 88.88 by December 28, 2026? (NASDAQ: CAKE) resolve?
- Will Cheesecake Factory stock price close below 88.88 by December 28, 2026? (NASDAQ: CAKE) is scheduled to resolve on December 27, 2026.
- How is Will Cheesecake Factory stock price close below 88.88 by December 28, 2026? (NASDAQ: CAKE) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria