Will Cancer Be Ranked 4th or Lower Among the Leading Causes of Death in the US by 2035?
One-OffHealth & Medicine9yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 77%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleAug 11, 23, 9:19 AM UTCDec 31, 35, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Cancer has been the second leading cause of death in the US in recent years [1].
- This market will resolve as YES early if any statistics from a government agency indicate that.
- If no such stats are published, this market will resolve as NO on December 31st, 2035.
- This market is designed to gauge how people’s opinions about cancer treatment evolve using fair criteria.
- However, other factors, such as changes in population structure, may also strongly influence the results.
- Reference: 2021 statistics [2]