What are the current odds for Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 77% as of October 25, 2026.

Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

One-OffAI Tech2mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 77%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Jul 2, 26, 11:55 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

I got a Wikipedia page created for Amanda Askell this way...

Bizarrely, there is a Wikipedia page for the concept of an artificial intelligence safety institute, and there's a page for UKAISI, but only a section in the other article for CAISI, America's Center for AI Standards and Innovation.
CAISI has received coverage in the Wall Street Journal, among other places, and will likely be increasingly important in AI regulation.
I think it probably deserves its own independent Wikipedia page.
To resolve YES, the Wikipedia page must exist for at least 95% of the month of December.
(I want this market to be robust to Wikipedia vandalism.)