What are the current odds for Will BRICS currency/ies compose at least 30% of reserves and trade by 2030?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 64.9% as of October 26, 2026.

Paper trade this

Will BRICS currency/ies compose at least 30% of reserves and trade by 2030

One-OffMacro & Economy3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 64.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 15 hours ago

Stale

May 3, 23, 6:50 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Counting the sum of all currencies of all countries members of BRICS by then, plus any new international currency that is officially endorsed by the group.

(Exception: if the US somehow joins the BRICS, or the BRICS somehow end up endorsing the use of the US dollar, the dollar still isn't counted)

Report a data issue with this market

Will BRICS currency/ies compose at least 30% of reserves and trade by 2030

Will BRICS currency/ies compose at least 30% of reserves and trade by 2030

Open markets

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 26, 2026

US building permits for October

30-year mortgage rate this week

UK retail sales in October

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

US Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 29, 2026)

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 26, 2026

US building permits for October

30-year mortgage rate this week

UK retail sales in October

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

US Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 29, 2026)