Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?
SpaceOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 70.2%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleSep 11, 23, 10:29 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Astrobotic Technology is a private spaceflight company.
- The Griffin lander has been contracted by NASA under the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program to build and fly a lander to the surface of the moon.
- It should launch in late 2024.
- For a successful mission the Griffin lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational.
- The Griffin lander is a successor to the Peregrine lander.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Sailfish/will-astrobotic-technologys-peregri)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon? resolve?
- Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Astrobotic Technology is a private spaceflight company.