Will Argentina default before 2027?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffMacro & EconomyBonds & TreasuriesLatin America3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.7%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleNov 21, 23, 6:18 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
A sovereign default is the failure or refusal of the government of a sovereign state to pay back its debt in full when due.
- Resolves YES when Argentina fails to pay on their bonds or announces bankruptcy.
- Resolves NO in 2027.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Argentina default before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Argentina default before 2027? resolve?
- Will Argentina default before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Argentina default before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A sovereign default is the failure or refusal of the government of a sovereign state to pay back its debt in full when due.