Will Anthropic stock begin public trading on or before November 6, 2026?
ExchangeEquitiesOne-OffCorporate ActionsRegulationBusiness & CorporateAITech10d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.5%
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29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 6:54 PM UTCNov 7, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
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FutuurRules
Reuters reported in early September 2026 that Anthropic's IPO launch has shifted toward mid-October at the earliest, with the prospectus expected in late September and the listing completed "days before" the U.S. midterm elections.
- Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley are leading the offering; some investors have floated a valuation near $2 trillion.
- The question is whether that plan survives contact with the calendar.
- Resolves YES if Anthropic common stock (or equivalent listed security, including via direct listing) has its first day of trading on a U.S. public exchange (Nasdaq, NYSE, or equivalent) on or before November 6, 2026, 23:59 ET.
- Resolves NO otherwise — including if the offering is postponed, withdrawn, priced but not traded by the deadline, or if the company remains private.
- A private placement, tender offer, secondary-market transaction on a venue such as Forge or EquityZen, or a SPAC announcement without completed trading does not count.
