Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther harms 69%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMar 10, 26, 12:34 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The CEO of the Atlantic claimed in a recent article that "Insider Trading Is Going to Get People Killed".
- [tweet]Resolution Criteria
- The "Other" category covers any unspecified harms aside from legal, PR or related troubles suffered by the insider trader, prediction market or other predictors.
- Examples: a genuine PR challenge for an organization or person associated with the insider due to the information released, early leakage of contest results (such as at the Emmys, before the announcement on stage), and so on.
- Any event reported on in the major news media which offers reasonable justification that insider trading was causally implicated in deaths, injuries or the named outcome is sufficient.
- This market does not qualify!
