Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.6%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
May 10, 26, 4:31 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
PolymarketAnthropic acquired before 2027?
LimitlessAnthropic acquired by another company before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic acquired by Apple before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if any company obtains a >50% stake in Anthropic by EOY 2030
Open markets
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.4pt71.4%
- ChatGPT-2.6pt13.3%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.1%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.9M
- 24h Vol
- $57.8K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-4.0pt88%
- December 15,-1.5pt88%
- November 30,-6.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$900B+10.4pt100%
- ↑$1.0T-4.5pt82%
- ↑$1.25T-4.5pt57%
+12 more outcomes
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2026+4.8pt98%
- 1.5T+-1.0pt2%
- <500B-0.1pt0%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+2.0pt91.4%
- Grok+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini1.9%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $493.7K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude+1.0pt91.7%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini0.9%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.3K
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Most popular AI this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030? resolve?
- Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if any company obtains a >50% stake in Anthropic by EOY 2030